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People have little loyalty to meat per se. If you made something that was cheaper and tasted better, most carnivores would switch. Once that shift started, social pressure against eating meat would grow rapidly. It would seem, and in fact would be, perverse.
Predictions about the future often turn out to be false, but I'm going to risk predicting a rapid switch away from meat at some point. It's rocket-science hard, but no harder, and there is a huge amount of money to be made. Ergo it will happen.
I'll warn you in advance, though, that the switch will probably increase rather than decrease economic inequality. The replacements for meat will be created by startups, which means more Bezoses, and will simultaneously put lots of small farmers out of business.
Have you tried some vegetarian burgers? They're actually quite good! And don't need to be frozen or kept very cold to avoid becoming bad.
Riding horses?
The rich/connected will always eat meat. What the general population eats will switch when there's full government control. All a farmer's cows can't roam free eating wild grasses, it's not economical. When the gov controls what the people get, they'll economize as in the past.
I think this ignores the cultural cachet of "real" meat, and the fact that the price declines for lab- or fake-meat are gradual, not suddenly much cheaper than animal-meat. It'll take a couple years for it to get cheaper and better, climb to ~50% mkt share in the US, then stall.https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1099648921180217345 …
Interesting take Paul. Are you referring to meat substitutes or to a switch to becoming vegetarian/ vegan?
We have relevant aggregated predictions here. Still open for predictions: Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100? https://www.metaculus.com/questions/614/will-there-be-a-vegan-country-by-2100/ … Closed: Decrease in US meat production? https://www.metaculus.com/questions/281/a-decrease-in-us-meat-production-by-2025/ … Veganism trend:https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1314/will-interest-in-veganism-decrease-prior-to-2020/ …
Fungus & other lab meat is getting closer, tho.
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