Most natural processes with super linear growth end up with an inflection point and an asymptote
With something that increases at a superlinear rate, like technology, saying "x isn't possible yet" is like standing on a sheet of ice and saying "I'm not falling yet."
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A supernova doesn’t just keep getting hotter indefinitely, and it’s not equally hot in all places, but it ends up hot enough everywhere that the answer to all heat-related pragmatic questions is “Yes.”
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I think we can safely say that immortality isn't possible even in a dystopian future
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I like the term "stagnation fallacy" for these things - freshly minted by
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This provoked many good replies and I would add that if one applies design thinking, there are often ways to achieve the "x" result without needing to cross a chasm. Consider Zipcar's need for tech to provide access to cars vs Uber's approach.
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Excited to hear that you think this way.
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Spot on. We don't know what we don't know.
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Technology isn't growing exponentially. It's decelerating. It's not the 2000s anymore grandpa. Moore's law = dead.
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