Could someone please make a scatterplot of this data, with a curve fitted to it? I suspect there is a very important shape here that no one has seen before.https://twitter.com/JonErlichman/status/1095395031006040071 …
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Honestly, I can't believe there aren't exceptions to this. But to have it even as a strong tendency is remarkable.
There is definitely stuff going on here, isn't there? I'm not sure what. But I bet this question would repay some time spent investigating.
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It sounds like
@nntaleb’s Extremistan. As the economy shifts away from physical to informational, distribution and growth speeds up.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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There just aren’t any companies founded in e.g. 2000 that took 30yrs to get to 50b simply because that would be in the future! All the companies hit the mark around 2000 +/-20 or so years...
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You might want to look into European companies too. St-Gobain was founded in 1663, which gives a bit of perspective. I would also look at when they did reach that point. The argument about 1980-2020 seems strong if you have a linear slope of almost 1.
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