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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 12 Feb 2019

    Paul Graham Retweeted Jon Erlichman

    Could someone please make a scatterplot of this data, with a curve fitted to it? I suspect there is a very important shape here that no one has seen before.https://twitter.com/JonErlichman/status/1095395031006040071 …

    Paul Graham added,

    Jon ErlichmanVerified account @JonErlichman
    Replying to @paulg
    here you go: https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/how-facebook-became-one-of-the-fastest-growing-companies-in-u-s-history-1.1213047 … pic.twitter.com/GWB21nsxEI
    11:27 AM - 12 Feb 2019
    • 34 Retweets
    • 192 Likes
    • bourbakis BERNARD M NYAGAKA 𝙵𝚎𝚍𝚎𝚛𝚒𝚌𝚘 𝙿𝚒𝚜𝚝𝚘𝚗𝚘 Akshit @GOLONDRINO Curious Mind Colin DuBois Mark Solomon Ran Reichman
    26 replies 34 retweets 192 likes
      1. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 12 Feb 2019

        I also suspect that there's a principle in here akin to Moore's Law. If so I propose we call it Erlichman's Law.

        11 replies 3 retweets 53 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Clem‏ @Clem109 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @paulg

        What about inflation? Is this taken into account

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @Clem109

        Yes.

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Colin Percival‏ @cperciva 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @paulg

        Biggest pattern I'm seeing here is "every company with $50B+ annual revenue reached that point before 2019".pic.twitter.com/bEwQsOzh9O

        2 replies 1 retweet 18 likes
      3. Colin Percival‏ @cperciva 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @cperciva @paulg

        Almost as strong a pattern is "... and most of them in the past 20 years". But that's not surprising really -- rather than adjusting the $50B for inflation, a fair comparison would adjust the $50B for GDP growth.

        2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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      2. Craig Damlo‏ @SoapBoxRocket 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @paulg

        Here’s plot. I would be interested to see these numbers normalized: value of dollar, market population…pic.twitter.com/mDYX6TwJCx

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      3. Benjamin Jones‏ @abqpythonista 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @SoapBoxRocket @paulg

        Erlichman claims its constant dollars. To me it's super weird how well this fits a line.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Steph Smith‏ @stephsmithio 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @paulg

        @paulg 📉pic.twitter.com/IMbzolCxId

        1 reply 3 retweets 40 likes
      3. Cory Jarrell‏ @cdjarrell 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @stephsmithio @paulg

        Got similar. I was expecting an exponential curve but the linearity is pretty convincing at 0.91

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Robert Kelley‏ @RobertDKelley 12 Feb 2019
        Replying to @paulg

        It's a downward line from left to right. Probably because newer companies are benefiting from the free labor from participants in their network.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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