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paulg's profile
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Paul Graham
Verified account
@paulg

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Paul GrahamVerified account

@paulg

paulgraham.com
Joined August 2010

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    1. Adam Tooze‏ @adam_tooze 7 Feb 2019

      The divergence in growth between service and goods-producing sector employment in the US since the crisis is truly striking. (and mind the scales) @DeutscheBank via @SoberLookpic.twitter.com/9hXprfIxJX

      9 replies 76 retweets 126 likes
      Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 7 Feb 2019
      Replying to @adam_tooze @NickSzabo4

      This is the most surprising graph I've seen in weeks. Do you know why this is happening @tylercowen and @ATabarrok?

      2:19 PM - 7 Feb 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 20 Likes
      • Mobmathmum Anshul Modi Mina Sorsok Simar Luka Ivicevic Mustafa Yilmaz Jonathan Leisner tylercowen
      11 replies 1 retweet 20 likes
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        2. Nick Szabo‏ @NickSzabo4 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @paulg @adam_tooze and

          We only have space and time for so many things, but our needs to have our fellow humans serve us in a variety of silly but flattering ways are insatiable.

          2 replies 4 retweets 11 likes
        3. Jess  🌱‏ @thattallguy 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @NickSzabo4 @paulg and

          You're doing a great job flattering me with your knowledge Nick. Thanks :)

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
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        2. Paul Graham‏Verified account @paulg 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @DKThomp @adam_tooze and

          I believe services are growing faster than goods. But why were jobs producing goods hit disproportionately hard in the recession?

          9 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. Neal Wu‏ @WuNeal 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @paulg @adam_tooze and

          They’re using two different scales. I think the graphs would look much less striking when put on the same scale.

          0 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
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        1. tylercowen‏Verified account @tylercowen 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @paulg @adam_tooze and

          Bigger dip in goods perhaps because durables are more cyclical, easier to postpone purchase. Their slower recovery is realization not worth investing new fixed costs again for the next round of stuff? LR shift compressed into SR?

          0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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        2. Nikhil Krishnan‏Verified account @nikillinit 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @paulg @adam_tooze and

          demand for many services that are growing parts of the economy are inelastic (e.g. healthcare, education)? Demand for goods is not, idk

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Adam Greenwald  😎‏ @GreenwaldHQ 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @nikillinit @paulg and

          You mean consumers are finding more value through experiences rather than accumulating physical goods? Seems about right.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Still not immanentizing the eschaton‏ @BartlettFred 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @paulg @adam_tooze and

          Since I work in IT, the first thing that occurs to me is that our goods (not just PCs, but cars, refrigerators, TVs, ...) are much more complex and require more service workers. And then there's the regulatory burden, which is shouldered mainly by service workers.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Michael Ewens‏ @startupecon 7 Feb 2019
          Replying to @paulg @adam_tooze and

          The scales are different. From the trough in 2010, the goods producing series increased 17%, while the service series increased 19%.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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