Hypothesis: Micromobility rides increase by a factor of 10 every year. In our latest Micromobility Podcast @oliverbruce called it “Dediu’s Law”. Here’s what it looks like relative to Moore’s Law.pic.twitter.com/86Ce3GqXOG
At 10^n your law will run up against limits fairly soon, which sadly means that if correct it won't have as much time to become well-known as Moore's Law.
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Log(cumulative rides) on the Y axis is not apples to apples for 'absolute transistor count on chips'..so not much of a law there. Why not graph log(cumulative items sold on amazon since 1997) instead? or 'items ordered on food delivery apps'..each could have a 'law'
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The limit is 4 to 6 trillion miles/yr. based on current travel demand and mix of travel distances. Expect some slowing in later years thus a five to 7 year run.
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