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paul_hundred's profile
Funeral Paul Hundred
Funeral Paul Hundred
Funeral Paul Hundred
@paul_hundred

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Funeral Paul Hundred

@paul_hundred

"Like an easy-going ronin or renegade sidekick" -Andy Dick

Joined May 2017

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    1. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite Oct 4

      Xenocrypt Retweeted Xenocrypt

      A lot comes back to this. Like Trump did well in Iowa and in West Virginia and in Fall River, Massachusetts and in North Dakota. They don't have much in common in terms of opioid deaths or particular economic issues but they have lots of non-college Whites and that's the thing.https://twitter.com/xenocryptsite/status/1047911527511203840 …

      Xenocrypt added,

      Xenocrypt @xenocryptsite
      I mean the correlation in Massachusetts towns of Trump swing and education is already, uh, so insanely high that I guess there's not much room for ANY other variables. (In Cambridge's case, the margin can't improve all that much...) pic.twitter.com/8oVbnmWKqZ
      Show this thread
      2 replies 6 retweets 13 likes
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    2. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite Oct 4

      So you can cherry-pick the non-College-White places with opioid deaths or China Shock or...not enough airport flights...or whatever, and say "this is why Trump won", and there might be something there (maybe not with the airports thing), but are you being comprehensive?

      2 replies 2 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    3. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite Oct 4

      "Trump did well in the places that are far from the Winner-Take-All Cities." "What about Staten Island?" "...you have to take a ferry, that counts as far."

      2 replies 3 retweets 6 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite Oct 4

      Or maybe @davidshor is right and really the root is psychological openness and not even education.

      1 reply 3 retweets 3 likes
      Show this thread
    5. ((David Shor))‏ @davidshor Oct 4
      Replying to @xenocryptsite

      The coefficient for education on predicting Trump swing totally disappears when you control for openness the same way or disappears when you control for racial resentment

      4 replies 5 retweets 6 likes
      Funeral Paul Hundred‏ @paul_hundred Oct 4
      Replying to @davidshor @xenocryptsite

      How much/does adding agreeableness to openness improve the predictivity?

      11:57 AM - 4 Oct 2018
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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