1/ Hypothesis: crypto has a "Bitcoin Bias": almost all thinking analyzes crypto networks as being much more like BTC than they are. As first mover, BTC is highly salient, and everyone in crypto either got rich from BTC, knows ppl who did, or wishes they got rich from BTC.
-
Show this thread
-
2/ This explains incorrect expectation that utility tokens will have significant price (because BTC is a low-velocity a store of value, hence has a high token price), that networks should be designed around linear blockchains (because BTC is).
1 reply 1 retweet 6 likesShow this thread -
3/ It's why people assume money/payments/store of value are primary use cases. It's why so many hate the idea of stablecoins (esp. fiat-pegged) - BTC is deflationary, meant to rise in price as it is adopted, and has an anti-fiat philosophy.
2 replies 1 retweet 8 likesShow this thread -
4/ And it's why people think that buying tokens early is the way to profit from each new crypto network (since that worked so well for BTC). I think this is false for most networks, and there will eventually be an Altcoin Apocalypse.
1 reply 1 retweet 16 likesShow this thread -
5/ This not a diss of BTC, it is one of the 3 tokens I own, and by definition it's the one token that should be analyzed with a BTC bias! But it represents only a small part of the potential crypto space, from both a product and tech perspective.
1 reply 0 retweets 5 likesShow this thread -
6/ Thus I believe that people are over-invested in things that seem like Bitcoin (look good in a BTC-biased analysis), and under-invested in things that seem unlike Bitcoin (look bad in a BTC-biased analysis).
1 reply 0 retweets 11 likesShow this thread -
7/ Which means we can profit by thinking of crypto in non-BTC ways, and analyzing investments with less Bitcoin Bias than the crowd. Fin. Thoughts?
10 replies 2 retweets 9 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @patrissimo
Agree that ppl invest in tokens that hope they'll be money buy don't have BTC's properties. But I have a hard time seeing what else cryptocurrency is good for (as an investment). Equity tokens would be regulated out of existence bc they rely on third parties. What's left?
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
I see crypto as a general technology for conveting the illiquid, opaque, and offline into digital economic networks. Storage, compute, stocks, bonds, property title, tickets... An extension of the trend of eBay, Uber, AirBnb, etc. It's about markets, not money.
-
-
Replying to @patrissimo
I like the tech, but don't buy the investment thesis. All of those things have value iff backed by real assets. Right now, they don't entitle you to anything. It's like buying iron ore bc one day Chuck e cheese will stamp tokens out of it.
0 replies 0 retweets 0 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.