Jaron Lanier's pick for the person whose ideas will shape the next 25 years: researcher @glenweylhttps://www.wired.com/story/wired25-jaron-lanier-glen-weyl-radical-equality/ …
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I am just confused by the nature of the argument you are making. How is it illegitimate for me to think Jaron is brilliant and have been persuaded by his brilliance to agree with him on something? How could it be otherwise?
Put another way, if he were forced to bet half his net worth on a prediction market on the probability that "Glen Weyl is the person whose ideas will shape the next 25 years", I think he would give it < 5% probability (perhaps < 1%). It's his hope, not his belief.
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That seems fair. I don't think it was framed to them in that way. It was framed to them as their favorite person or something like this.
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Ok, then perhaps it was just a poor phrasing of the question or the summary, then. My reaction was entirely to a pundit (Jaron) making a claim that sounds like a prediction. One's favorite people are of course the ones that one hopes will triumph.
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I get it. Yeah I am pretty sure that is not how it was ever framed to them. But Wired is all about treating hopes as predictions.
End of conversation
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