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In the longer-term, the innovation & stability of private competing financial systems will battle with the increased opacity & complexity of this new tech. The result could be record safety levels, like cars today, or apocalyptic dangers, like media today.
Most likely, both will co-exist, customers will have to make good decisions (about what tech to use, or whose tech advice to follow), and people will (as always) get differing results depending on the quality of their choices. (inspired by ideas from Will Eden)
I wonder if BAKKT and the like will move toward side Hain development. It just makes sense to me. From there, it is a free choice to engage in fractional based systems, but leverage will likely tend toward something more rational.
Yeah, it will be interesting to see what reserves look like in private money. When the downsides are socialized via bailouts, obviously people will lever up whenever possible. But even with private money, it seems unlikely the equilibrium leverage is 1.0.
Someone could just build an AI to quantify risk and sell it as software as a service.
Crypto probably does most good by inspiring thinking about alternative monetary arrangements, but it isn't a mainstreamable option itself. Even if in an impossible future we'll be paying with BTC-denominated money for meals, that will happen via a fract-res. ~debit card company.
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