What about Futarchy, but to replace elections rather than legislation? Ie select govt officials by using prediction markets on their performance. Ideally using objective metrics, but as a fallback just bet on ex post voter satisfaction. @robinhanson
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..that attempts to manipulate them makes them stronger. The more money is fed in by rich people trying to force a selection by making false bets (ie betting that A will increase income for poor by $6,000/yr when really it will be $2,000/yr), the more quants earn by fixing.
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This system will maximize income for bottom decile regardless of whether bottom decile participates. Just like a prediction market on Superbowl outcome makes an accurate estimate whether or not the football players wager.
End of conversation
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