When I read @readyplayerone (https://amzn.to/2PcJBaf ), it felt like just nostalgic geeky young adult delightful fun. I didn't think a lot about the setting. Yet as it has sunk in over the years, I've concluded that the near-future dystopic elements may prove prescient.
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@readyplayerone features real-world poverty which people escape via a fakely epic gamified virtual world whose best content is all copied from a more culturally rich past era. This is already manifesting in employment trends among young men:http://review.chicagobooth.edu/economics/2016/article/video-killed-radio-star …1 reply 1 retweet 3 likesShow this thread -
Being a fictional story, the dropout lifestyle is unfortunately glorified - expertise in the fakely epic dropout virtual world is transformed, via a tournament for control of the VR world, into real-world riches and power.
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I think the reality will be more like the instability of UBI+VR in
@KarlKGallagher's Torchship world (https://amzn.to/2BeM8O9 ) or the webfic RA (https://qntm.org/ra ). Having a growing fraction of society spending their time unproductively in a fake world is not stable.1 reply 2 retweets 5 likesShow this thread -
Such a society is - and this is speaking entirely from an analytic standpoint, no moral judgement- an abomination to Moloch (http://slatestarcodex.com/2014/07/30/meditations-on-moloch/ …). The abomination is even worse with UBI, and x100 in a democracy where UBI recipients can vote.
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This is not a commentary on justice or morality or any aspect of what "should" be. It is simply an observation about the world as it is, namely that it ruthlessly culls systems of the form "people can vote themselves welfare to play video games instead of working".
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While ppl like
@slatestarcodex somehow both understand Moloch and believe in UBI, I feel very strongly that basic game theory dynamics make "UBI + Universal Vote" clearly untenable. SocSec/Medicare already threaten to bankrupt the world's richest country through these dynamics.1 reply 1 retweet 9 likesShow this thread -
Not that accurate long-term analysis has much to do with democratic policy - I'm not writing to influence legacy states. Rather, to explain to remainers and potential exiters why we must & will exit from the states whose decaying orbits will inevitably result in fiery death.
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Replying to @patrissimo
Federal-level voting has less than 1 bits/year of bandwidth. (0.5 reps + 0.25 president + 0.166 senators) If voters cannot coordinate a swift overturning of the two parties, they can totally just decide not to do UBI. If voters can coordinate it, repr. democracy is ~ obsolete.
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It's like "The rabbit runs harder than the fox; for the fox runs for his dinner and the rabbit for his life." In this case "Dolers are a stronger voting bloc, because for others fiscal sustainability is one of many concerns, while for dolers it is their livelihood."
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