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PatrickRuffini's profile
Patrick Ruffini
Patrick Ruffini
Patrick Ruffini
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@PatrickRuffini

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Patrick RuffiniVerified account

@PatrickRuffini

Account for measured hot takes. Republican Pollster @EchelonInsights

Washington, DC
echeloninsights.com/TheIntersection
Joined March 2007

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    1. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      What if the U.S. junked the two party system and instead had multiple parties? We polled profiles of five new political parties. Here’s who would win the most votes, and here’s who would capture various demographics. (THREAD) http://echeloninsights.com/wp-content/uploads/Omnibus-October-2019_Party.pdf …

      38 replies 226 retweets 555 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      U.S. registered voter support in a multi-party democracy: 28% Labor (working class center-left) 21% Conservative (traditional-right, pre-Trump) 19% Nationalist (basically Trump) 12% “Acela Party” (socially liberal, globalist, fiscally centrist) 10% Green (basically AOC)pic.twitter.com/7tBD3g6Skn

      132 replies 305 retweets 784 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      While the right would be split down the middle between the choice of a Trumpist or a traditional conservative party, Democratic voters would gravitate towards a Labor Party, giving them plurality support.pic.twitter.com/59SrCHdQzk

      5 replies 30 retweets 137 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      An “Acela Party” patterned after Mike Bloomberg and Howard Schultz has no special appeal to Independents or moderates. It runs 4th in both those groups. It’s basically a cosmopolitan-left party.pic.twitter.com/rP1wjOyMTH

      10 replies 26 retweets 159 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      The Acela-ites do however come close to being the top choice of college educated whites, nearly tying the Labor Party which has more than 2x the support in the electorate as a whole (see disconnect between urban professionals and median voter)pic.twitter.com/M68wXh69hz

      7 replies 16 retweets 90 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      Support for far-left Greens is generational in nature. Younger voters support them but a steep drop-off with older voters, similar to Sanders primary support.pic.twitter.com/8ubzBmrDDK

      8 replies 14 retweets 93 likes
      Show this thread
      Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

      Quelle surprise: Warren voters actually not that interested in a far left party, instead preferring the wine-track Acela. Contrast that with Sanders voters.pic.twitter.com/ghezxa1p08

      10:35 AM - 18 Nov 2019
      • 68 Retweets
      • 259 Likes
      • Chris Dina 🇵🇷 🇭🇷 Lisa Gale Lumpy Louise - Ruled I will not be! 🌭 The Great Bummy One 🌭 BOOrian! Mohannad Alsaidi decadent faux-leftist Rathindra
      15 replies 68 retweets 259 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

          People considering Warren look like people considering Buttigieg (#1 in Acela support) more than they look like people considering Sanders.pic.twitter.com/VvPgaYNjNC

          5 replies 33 retweets 137 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

          While discussion focuses on socialist far-left and possible Bloomberg counter, the bread-and-butter Dem Party represented by Joe Biden has the most pull with voters.

          10 replies 22 retweets 105 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

          Warren supporters aren’t actually revolutionaries. They’re comfortable liberals who live in upscale neighborhoods, exactly who Bloomberg would appeal to. But this brand of politics only gets 12% nationally.

          11 replies 33 retweets 210 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 18 Nov 2019

          This America basically looks like the UK if you fuse together the Conservatives & Nationalists.

          13 replies 10 retweets 96 likes
          Show this thread
        6. End of conversation
        1. Central NJ Yimby  🇺🇸 🚲 🏙‏ @YIMBY_Princeton 18 Nov 2019
          Replying to @PatrickRuffini

          Bro, put down the bong. Seriously.

          0 replies 0 retweets 22 likes
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        2. Chris Arnade  🐢‏ @Chris_arnade 18 Nov 2019
          Replying to @PatrickRuffini

          Guess I just don’t find this surprising

          2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
        3. PaultheFossil 🌐‏ @paulrbotts 18 Nov 2019
          Replying to @Chris_arnade @PatrickRuffini

          Some overstatement going on here though. E.g. this data shows considerably more Warren voters preferring one of the farther-left imaginary parties than the "Acela" one. Saying that they "prefer" the Acela party is not what these charts actually show.

          1 reply 1 retweet 22 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. allo‏ @Equalityfor28th 18 Nov 2019
          Replying to @PatrickRuffini

          It's because Acela specifically calls out women's rights while Labor addresses inequality. Warren voters probably want both but there's no option for that other than maybe Green.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Jeffrey Webb‏ @JeffreyTWebb 18 Nov 2019
          Replying to @PatrickRuffini

          No love for the libertarians, @PatrickRuffini?

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Amelia Bedelia Headass‏ @theAntiBinge 18 Nov 2019
          Replying to @JeffreyTWebb @PatrickRuffini

          Which.. ones?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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