"Pessimists sound smart. Optimists make money." —@natfriedman
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In tech I agree. Lots more smart people should switch to tech pronto. But I think that's an argument for "be calibrated about which opportunities are actually high EV" rather than "be optimistic." Most Hollywood waiters hoping for their big break need to become LESS optimistic.
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I’d question how much of these statements are a part of ego and myth making though. I’m not sure he believed that he had a 10% chance of success when he started.
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