Major takeaway: Countries that are prepared will see a fatality rate of ~0.5% (South Korea) to 0.9% (rest of China). Countries that are overwhelmed will have a fatality rate between ~3%-5% That's why we need to delay its spread by all means
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
There's wonderful work being done by the mathematical modelers & infectious disease epidemiologists at
@CCDD_HSPH - their director Marc Lipsitch is putting out great content.https://twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1237836493718261761?s=20 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
It's so good. That said, curious about his background/credentials. Lots of misinfo going around, would be nice to have these kinds of amazing projects delivered/validated by more official channels.
-
Lots of academics praising this take so it's good imho
- 1 more reply
New conversation -
-
-
Yes, this was an amazing post. It's also worth reminding that weeks ago, a world-leading epidemiologist concluded 40-70% of us would get
#COVID19. In countries where it spreads unchecked, that prediction looks correct. Angela Merkel said so for Germany. US facing sameThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
this is an excellent analysis
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Great article. As usually,
@Medium’s rendering of graphics is so abysmal that I can’t see half of the plots in it though -
I viewed in on Chrome on a Mac. Works perfectly.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Great article
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
And scary as hell
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.