Is it really the case that we’ve made no substantial progress on cancer? The current age-adjusted mortality rate is the same as in 1930, and the recent decline only tracks the fall in smoking.https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/cross-check/the-cancer-industry-hype-vs-reality/ …
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Realistically what could you expect? A car accelerates from 0-30 mph faster than it goes from 30-60 because of drag. Eventually you hit a barrier like heat or grip but you can still eek out asymptotic gains until then. Is that what we’re seeing here?
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The big gains have come at the opposite end of the spectrum. For example, the sharp decline in child mortality.pic.twitter.com/HiBaTFO4yb
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A big-time rationalist tweeted the other day that curing cancer altogether would edge life expectancy up 3.something years, I think. Maybe global warming will reduce northern suicide rates
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