Two things that can both be true: 1. The world is getting better, by most metrics of human well-being 2. The risk of a major catastrophe is going up over time Yet I often see ppl try to dismiss 2 by saying "The doomsayers are wrong, things are getting better, [argument for 1]"
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With regards to any particular risk that might motivate one to worry in the present, I think one should decrease one's estimate of impact to a future society by discounting by something like economic growth between then and now, except super-linear.
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I agree that we become better at dealing with specific risks once they have arrived. Still, we need to develop tactics for reducing risks prospectively, because impact of new things are increasing. We don't develop code in production, and it is not just because of convenience
End of conversation
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