"Assume the other guy has a budget, a boss, and quarterly goals" is a really good heuristic for predicting the behavior of systems. https://twitter.com/homakov/status/876771657117044737 …
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With specific relevance to software security I think "Attacker is likely a genius" mispredicts attacker behavior by quite a bit.
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Geniuses care about novelty; actual attackers have to ship software on time and on budget. Expect code reuse and pedestrian vulnerabilities.
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