I'm very very tempted to offer a bet here if we could figure out clear terms.
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Replying to @harryh
How’s this? Let X be the count of the top 5 YC companies by valuation in a YC class later than today’s which have a typical HQ-centric structure. Call it “over 500 people or 50% of company in 1 building.” Historical estimate for X should be 5. I’ll take the under on 3.
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Replying to @patio11
That sounds good to me if we can substitute "1 city" for "1 building". Bet to resolve on 1/1/2025 (basically 5 years from today)? What are we wagering? I'm comfortable with whatever. I generally prefer the ease of straight cash, though up for something fun/creative too.
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Replying to @harryh
Compromise on city/building and call it a campus? If future ends up being 1000 employees with 500 of them being in SFBA at WeWorks and coffee houses I feel I should win. Amenable to timeframe. $50 with settlement to charity of winner’s choice?
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Replying to @patio11
Campus is good. I just want credit for any sort of close proximity cluster ala Google or FB (randomly distributed in a collection of WeWorks doesn't count as a win for me). $50 works for me though you sure you don't want to add a zero? Gotta make it worth it for a 5 year bet!
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Replying to @patio11
Done! I'll write something up in a gist tonight at some point (about to head to the airport and then get on a plane so not sure about the timing).
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Replying to @harryh
No worries, I am on the Internets and plan to be for a while.
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Replying to @patio111 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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Current events are really not helping me out on this bet.
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Patrick McKenzie Retweeted Patrick McKenzie
I feel your pain:https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1186986835941060608 …
Patrick McKenzie added,
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