Bloomberg: “No excess mortality in Tokyo” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-12/tokyo-mortality-tally-shows-no-surge-in-deaths-during-pandemic …pic.twitter.com/HMvX3YOQsH
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I work for the Internet, at @stripe, mostly on accelerating startups. Opinions here are my own.
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Bloomberg: “No excess mortality in Tokyo” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-12/tokyo-mortality-tally-shows-no-surge-in-deaths-during-pandemic …pic.twitter.com/HMvX3YOQsH
If you’ve been following along, you might think “Ahh, mildest flu season in ten years, I guess that explains part of it.”https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Health-Care/Common-flu-patients-in-Japan-fall-to-10-year-low-late-January …
And then you might ask the National Institute of Infectious Diseases “So: mildest flu season in ten years so, clearly, no excess deaths from flu/pneumonia versus expectation, right?” And their answer would not be “That is accurate.”
Do you think the current numbers showing a sharp decline in covid cases are real?
I believe we’ve had a substantial decline in the rate of transmission due to substantially modified behavior. As to whether I “believe the numbers” or not: I believe the explanations from epidemiologists that accurately measuring the extent of the epidemic is not a design goal.
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