If you’ve been following along, you might think “Ahh, mildest flu season in ten years, I guess that explains part of it.”https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Health-Care/Common-flu-patients-in-Japan-fall-to-10-year-low-late-January …
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And then you might ask the National Institute of Infectious Diseases “So: mildest flu season in ten years so, clearly, no excess deaths from flu/pneumonia versus expectation, right?” And their answer would not be “That is accurate.”
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What do you think is going on there?
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The same measures that reduce covid-19 spread also also reduce flu spread? Flu deaths already (kind of) a constant, now reduced, covid-19 deaths spike, now *also* reduced. Time lag of covid infections-->deaths does the rest.
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