And to state the obvious it is (a stupidly large multiple) more important to be right and therefore make right decisions quickly than (insert here the long, long, long list of concerns people have which are not being right or making right decisions quickly).
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Would very much appreciate an articulation on your disagreements, because I couldn’t square your writing on Japan with his line of questioning about it.
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I think he's better informed than probably 99% of commentators and would agree that we do not see eye to eye. I do not have more to add on this subject than what I've already said, which has been and will continue to be phrased with an eye towards caution.
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How is it well articulated when it is just assuming things that aren't true
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Acting on partial evidence is the best we can do under the present circumstances. We learn things quickly. Places which seem to share similar risk factors really do have sharply different outcomes in status quo. It's obvious some policy levers "work"; not obvious they dominate.
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His focus on lesser developed countries allows the intrusion of doubt and opens up remote possibilities. Plenty of example countries doing far beeter than the USA, UK etc.
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