That would be an unfortunate set of facts to square with the narrative of “succeeding in suppressing the outbreak” much like March’s uncontrolled national-scale outbreak was an unfortunate set of facts for that exact same narrative.
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If this issue is professionally relevant for you stop following the count and start listening to the head of the Japanese Association of Emergency Medicine and/or NHK’s reporting on where we are nationwide on capacity.
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A frustrating part of the epistemology of media is that, in a future where emergency medicine collapses, the media’s read on the quoted WSJ bit will be “Every word of that reporting was accurate.” That seems like a suboptimal cultural norm to continue awarding deference to.
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“The facts were right. We reported numbers provided to us and adequately identified the source, which we fact checked and was the source that was claimed. The conclusion was preceded by ‘may.’ So, no errors here.”
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You keep saying this, but didn’t NYC and Wuhan both build hospitals in about a week? I keep thinking that the main issue is just protocol. Ie initially Japanese protocol was hospital isolation room for every positive test, I believe Tokyo has started to change that.
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Your understanding of this matter does not comport with the available statistics with respect to utilization or the grave concern expressed by Japan's medical establishment, which is capable of answering the question "Can we create a hospital of functioning capacity in a week?"
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This story which I read with interest (a friend here in NYC from Hokkaido) paints a grim picture in another part of Japan.https://time.com/5826918/hokkaido-coronavirus-lockdown/ …
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Those two things could be true at the same time. Fewer new cases are still new cases that require additional healthcare capacity. Unless old cases no longer take up capacity, but hospitalization time for Covid-19 is, allegedly, unusually long.
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Well, that's terrifying.
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Asymmetry of accountability If time proves you wrong I'm sure you'd be the first to "degrade your estimate of your ability to think through complex problems" But if time proves the WSJ pushed an ideologically pure but factually bogus take, their reputation will emerge unscathed
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