When the count goes down, sometimes that means the thing people think it means. Other times it means that the orderly functioning of the supply chain that produces the count has been impaired.
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It is very important that we not mistake Scenario #2 for Scenario #1.
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In Scenario #2, you will see a decrease in the number of tests produced per day, an increase in reported latency between tests being ordered and tests results being ready, and an increase in test positive rate as capacity rationed for patients with known worse clinical outcomes.
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All three of those data points are available from official services, but those data points are not as widely understood as the count is by analysts, policy makers, and others.
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I would pay $5-$10 a month for a service where someone makes a blog post that lucidly explains all of your tweet threads above n likes.
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See my pinned tweet.
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Fantastic point! Applies to tracking new cases finding as well as counting fatalities. Much suffering & deaths happening away from healthcare delivery facilities. Incredibly challenging to build such infrastructural system on the fly while fighting a pandemic.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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