A very interesting conversation about forecasting the future (with the Superforecaster guy), where it tends to pick up predictive alpha, the sociological makeup of people who repeatedly make good predictions, etc.https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/philip-e-tetlock/ …
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So if there was ever a method for doing well on tests or a stat on a character sheet which gives a bonus to your roll, that is going to be both important as a matter of societal concern and also quite a bit more obvious than it normally is from the constant test that is life.
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Epistemic status: This is a model I use to interpret things I have seen in the world over the course of my life, which I have found to repeatedly generate predictions which work well for me, but I acknowledge my reasoning may be corrupted.
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If you had asked me to write a character sheet for myself in high school, I would have put *all* the points into whatever skill governed the roll for doing well on tests, and I have spent much of my adult life sometimes regretting that effort allocation, which through mid-20s.
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and the inability to take the test a second time to try for a better result.
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