I rather enjoyed this article by Scott Alexander, and I think the world probably needs to do some thinking about expertise. It is a capability set; it is not a priesthood.https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/ …
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Yes, as I recall there was something like this in Thinking, Fast & Slow. Expert predictions are more trustworthy in fields where experts actually have a feedback loop that forces, or at least allows, them to improve their predictions
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I thought
@FeifanZ 's summary of Inadequate Equilibria was good on this subject.https://twitter.com/FeifanZ/status/1249725918840377344 …
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