I rather enjoyed this article by Scott Alexander, and I think the world probably needs to do some thinking about expertise. It is a capability set; it is not a priesthood.https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/04/14/a-failure-but-not-of-prediction/ …
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Given a much more positive sum domain than poker for correctly predicting future behavior of the universe and adapting to it, I would hope we would not say “Hmm, chip counts are one thing, but let’s compare CVs to determine who actually won here. Listen to them this/next time.”
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