I think the information environment has people thinking we’re maybe 50% “through” coronavirus and I think my estimate is on the order of 3 to 5%.
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Okay so how does that answer Rachel's question? Are you saying we're not 3-4 months into it, but only 2, so if that's 5% then we have 40 months left? (Also I initially thought you were talking about going to the DEF CON conference!)
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40 seems on the high end, but 24-36 is my estimate as well (barring breakthroughs in prophylaxis/treatment) And if I should make a wild guess, the 3% range comes into play if vaccine development doesn't work on short timelines.
End of conversation
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