I think the information environment has people thinking we’re maybe 50% “through” coronavirus and I think my estimate is on the order of 3 to 5%.
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The phrasing is flippant but meant to suggest “My perception is some people think 2Xing any of those gets to a reasonable approximation and I am extremely confident that 25X is closer geometrically.” I did not mean it to suggest “Good news: we have a plausible upper bound now.”
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Yup we are still years from vax & multiple doublings from approaching herd immunity Getting there without crushing the medical system is key yet now, having partially responded, just starting to see results, leaders are saying: "we overreacted, let's relax it all" bad ahead
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