I think the information environment has people thinking we’re maybe 50% “through” coronavirus and I think my estimate is on the order of 3 to 5%.
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Pakistan-India-Bangladesh-Myanmar is going to make the world cry. Subsaharan Africa will be slightly less horrific, but we'll be numb by then and in the midst of trying to figure out how to function without a vaccine, so we won't pay as much attention.
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Here in the US we're 17 days away from rent coming due, and huge numbers of people don't have jobs. You're 200% right, so many shoes left to drop
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One shoe for every foot of social distancing
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hmm, for context: * the long depression: 65 months contraction, peak 14% US unemployment * the great depression: 43 months, 23% neither was as global a phenomenon if I had the gauntlet and fingers to snap I'd still get rid of Malaria first, but oh boy holy shit this is not good
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