Is there data on books read per person per year *by birth year*? Amazon probably has it, implicitly, at least for adults (they can filter out children’s books).
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I want this to exist so I can bet against anyone who thinks school closures will have a meaningful impact on the education of people who missed classes—but most measures of education actually look at schooling instead.
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Maybe the right bet is: 2021 SAT and GRE results will not be meaningfully different from 2019, despite the drop in classroom time.
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Replying to @ByrneHobart
First thoughts: likely right. Second thoughts: perhaps right on average but not right across distribution. School likely destroys value for many students who were not rate limited on reading last few months; creates it for ones who replaced with only entertainment consumption.
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Part of the social purpose of school is as a leveling force, but it isn’t generally phrased as “Ensure subset of kids are too busy to e.g. start software companies in their teens or else they’ll just murder the Gini coefficient of their cohort”, despite that being a mechanism.
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