May be cynical, but I increasingly feel that saying that the government, or one of its agencies, "does something" is nonsensical. We have a government, and things come out of it. But at this stage they seem more like emergent properties or epiphenomena than deliberate actions
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In fact they suddenly appear competent under this light
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How could they be other than competent? We allocate tens of thousands of smart people to them. Default assumption should be that they’re as successful as achieving their objectives as any other well-resourced collection of smart people.
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Seen under this light, of the portfolio of all government agencies worldwide, there has been no greater success that public health agencies this year and no better position to be in than a civil servant or elected official Confidently Managing Our Epidemic.
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How could incentives change for both agencies and officials in these positions?
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I mean if you had a magic wand you could imagine saying on February 1st: “$AGENCY if US has non-Wuhan experience the X0k of you split a trillion dollar bonus pool. Your budget is another $1T. See attachment. Get. It. Done.” We, on revealed preferences, do not want that wand.
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