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patio11's profile
Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie
@patio11

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Patrick McKenzie

@patio11

I work for the Internet, at @stripe, mostly on accelerating startups. Opinions here are my own.

東京都 Tokyo
kalzumeus.com
Joined February 2009

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    1. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      Part of me feels that during a crisis is not a time to litigate claims for social status. Part of me feels like the current crisis is so sui generis that there actually is social purpose in saying “Your priors from January predict X > Y based on formal expertise or authority.”

      5 replies 3 retweets 48 likes
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    2. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      “However, we have material updates for you which have happened in the last weeks/days and which you have not incorporated into your view of the world yet. The decisions you make today impact the curve in weeks. Accordingly, yes, need to radically tinker with status weightings.”

      1 reply 1 retweet 24 likes
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    3. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      And atop this will be a lot of people being petty, or writing clickbait to surf the dopamine wave, or just bored while stuck at home and eager to engage in twitter beefing. And that isn’t great.

      1 reply 0 retweets 22 likes
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    4. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      But it is pretty apparent by this point that some processes/institutions/indicia of authority which were quite trusted in December have not performed up to their rep and that some organizations who one would not expect to display cutting edge epidemic management factually do.

      2 replies 6 retweets 48 likes
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    5. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      And on the third hand, for the purpose of achieving the unprecedented amount of coordination required to agree to cooperate against the only real enemy and to be able to live with each other in the aftermath, we might want to let some things slide.

      2 replies 1 retweet 26 likes
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    6. Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      And so we’re in this weird superposition of states where the game that actually matters is cooperative PVE but there’s a tiny bit of productive and close to zero sum social PVP in a sea of unproductive PVP.

      1 reply 2 retweets 29 likes
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      Patrick McKenzie‏ @patio11 Mar 31
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      “A WoW metaphor?” If a WoW guild was distributing masks in February and your local health department was not then put their clerics in charge of DPSing the coronavirus. I am much more serious about this than the observation sounds.

      12:07 PM - 31 Mar 2020
      • 9 Retweets
      • 82 Likes
      • James Burns MondSemmel Carl Brown Sohier Dane codingAlong Symora ꙮ Catherine Olsson ben blazak Ryan Foo
      5 replies 9 retweets 82 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Peter Clay‏ @eyebrowsofpower Mar 31
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          Replying to @patio11

          The problem is that people have elected griefers.

          1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
        3. Chris‏ @bumishness Mar 31
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          Replying to @eyebrowsofpower @patio11

          this is an excellent tweet

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. matt swanson  🤔  🦢‏ @_swanson Mar 31
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          Replying to @patio11

          https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corrupted_Blood_incident …

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Josh Doody‏ @JoshDoody Apr 1
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          Replying to @patio11

          I’m skeptical that even an event of this magnitude will cause anyone to update their priors. The same people will likely still say “X failed because it was always bad and this crisis just exposed the badness” and “X failed because it was underfunded and underpowered” as before.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Josh Doody‏ @JoshDoody Apr 1
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          Replying to @JoshDoody @patio11

          And I confess: My priors have largely been confirmed by this crisis. Although I will say I’ve been pleasantly surprised by how swift and nimble private industry has been in closing gaps in our supply chain (especially for PPE) over the past few weeks.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Gregory Rose‏ @grrosegr Mar 31
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          Replying to @patio11

          Status weighings that no longer are optimal and are the key bottleneck must be rapidly adjusted in the face of this novel situation. Our status updating system is also suboptimal but you quickly hit the maximum recursion going down that rabbit hole

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Yaro‏ @yarobagriy Mar 31
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          Replying to @patio11

          Loving the WoW metaphor 🤩

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