Tyler Cowen on how the biggest change in daily life from tech in next 20 years will be due to improvements in cars: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-04-29/forget-robots-the-breakthrough-technology-will-be-in-your-car … I've got an alternate one and, forewarned, this is going to be aesthetically very unpleasant for some people:
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I think cooking will, by 2040, be a niche activity like e.g. gardening or sewing, not something which one would reasonably expect from substantially every household. It's getting squeezed by a combination of long-running social changes, cultural norms, and...
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Replying to @patio11
Isn’t this almost already the case in many major Asian cities?
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Except that all these
#subscription model companies are still funded by VC money. The#gig economy companies may be offering products and services below cost (Uber, Lyft, etc). You have to wait, possibly years, to see if they are self-sustaining in the long-run.#MustWaitAndSee1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
If a bit of VC subsidies can flip the calculus for so many people right now, then we're not far from the threshold, which is evidence that existing trends may be enough to go beyond the threshold without subsidies by 2040. They're proof-of-concepts.
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There’s a phrase in security “Attacks never get worse over time” and I think you can refine that to “Unit economics never get worse over time (except for things suffering cost disease)”, so if you can subsidize people to a number where they’ll abandon a core part of culture...
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... that core part of culture isn’t going to be core that much longer.
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I wonder how many of these Asian or other urban takeout consumers are learning how to cook themselves? Maybe cooking will finally go the way of sewing/darning as a default skillset.
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Incidentally, I'm still very curious about a writeup of Japanese convenience store logistics & East Asian food urban delivery in general, especially in light of how vital they seem to be to implementing Wuhan-style lockdowns.
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Noted for a few weeks from now; sort of swamped by both the situation and other things at the moment.
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Tangential but interesting, last year around this time I was in Taipei, now I’m in Mexico City. Surprising food culture similarities: abundant street food + food couriers. My ‘hood is probably unique in the density of of 7-11/Circle K but it’s on par w/ Taipei as well.
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