Things are probably going to get worse before they get better, and plausibly quite a bit worse, but in terms of positioning one's business over the medium term, I'd be spending a lot of time thinking "What changes to the status quo are going to be the new normal going forward?"
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Non-linearity of systems example: a Rails app which has 400 ms p99 responses with 0% drop at 1,000 requests per minute, 5000 ms p99 responses with 20% drop at 1,200 requests per minute, and ~100% drop at 1,500 requests per minute. Sounds implausible... if you haven't done Rails.
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The things that will start showing implausible amounts of strain at striking thresholds are much more important than Rails apps and the impact to their ability to deliver service to the standard SLA is much worse than "a request gets dropped on the floor."
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If someone doesn't spin up a "chaos monkey but for the supply chain" consultancy or startup I feel like this is a huge missed opportunity. Force those bigcos to start building supply chains with some constant built in but random disruption.
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As someone who works in logistics tech, I assure you that supply chain already has chaos monkeys. You might need chaos gorilla or something, but monkeys are a weekly occurrence.
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I’ve been doing some tech towards modelling that the past few years. Not sure how one best commercializes that though
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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