This is a very lucid explanation of what we currently know about coronavirus spread: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca … The graph you should be most concerned about is the one that demonstrates that, at the point you know coronavirus has taken root in your area, it is *very* widespread.
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One thing I'm interested in is what is the most critical supply shortage in the ICU. Is the care that gets triaged away *just* ventilation, or is there significant medical care that's also in shortage? Could we have 500 people running four shifts of manual ventilation?
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Could that be done in a way that uses mostly unskilled volunteers without significantly increasing the risk of transmission? My assumption is the answers to these questions are that it wouldn't be a useful intervention, but I'd like to get to a definitive answer.
End of conversation
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Wasn’t an existence proof already shown in Wuhan? Same nonlinearities and bottlenecks. Why wasn’t that enough to convince you?
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