A superset of this: you can worry a lot less about how you are perceived when dealing with anyone who has a very large N, because you'd have to be at the at like p = 0.995 of their distribution to be odd enough to trigger Serious Negative Consequences, or they'd do nothing else.https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1228233906874306561 …
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The subtlety here: The Bayesian likelihood of you being a criminal contingent on you saying something which suggests criminality *after they suspect you of being a criminal* may very, very well be high enough to cause consequences.
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(This is yet another reason to not answer, even in jest, "Yes, this is a bomb" if you are ever asked whether something is a bomb, even though a commanding majority of people saying "Yes" to that question probably aren't accurately identifying a bomb.)
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