Writing my performance evaluation today, most of which is private but which I’m happy to share the fundamental strategy: Run a portfolio of experiments. Unlike an actual investment, you can increase sizing *after* the results are in at a similar entry price. Do that ruthlessly.
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You could: a) Be told by your manager "Ugh, you've got a 40% failure rate." Many businesses are managed this way. Prefer not to work in them if you work in this fashion. b) Run 5 new experiments next quarter with 20 units each. c) Put ~60 units in scaling adoption of #1 result
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You only get to do one experiment per year though, right?
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There are probably people/organizations with that constraint but I have more personal and organizational bandwidth and I actively work (a portion of the time) to increase the cadence at which we can run experiments. I think I made about 10 big bets in 2019, depending on sizing.
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