I should make more 5 and 10 year out predictions, because people are very recency-biased in their view of the world and "Hey let's revisit this list from 5 years ago" helps to combat that. A great example:https://blog.samaltman.com/bubble-talk
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I also think the public commentary/private commentary part gets a little weird because of signaling and extreme social non-desirability of calling out an important market node. My perception of the discourse was "A bet is a tax on bullshit. There has been a great deal of it."
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Or, to take it from the other side, where's the person who said "I am the confident, rational Uber bear. It is worth $50 billion and not one penny higher, damn you all." There are a lot of people who said "Uber will go out of business" and are now saying "I. Told. You. Soooooo."
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