I feel pretty good about 98% of the decisions I made that tournament, too, but the last couple were really disastrous.
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The hand I went all in on, after whittling down half my stack, was to a good player who had opened to 3 big blinds from under the gun, which normally signals strength. It folded to me on the button. I had AJ and, reasoning poorly, jammed with the objective of folding his pair. AK
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I wonder if “always tell the truth” in poker is like “always bet randomly” in rock-paper-scissors — it has a known good success rate but you are empirically guaranteed to not have the winningest strategy.
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if you're really curious, I'm p sure that's covered in Harrington on Holdem: what happens when a basically-straight player goes up against a basically-unpredictable player, & why one is optimal.
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