Three different things people mean by "I'm an optimist" 1) "I try to perceive the world accurately, and my honest assessment is that things are great" 2) "I try to perceive the world positively, regardless of whether that's accurate" 3) "I am cheerful and like solving problems"
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"There goes that crazy person who doesn't cap CAGRs in their Excel spreadsheet at 2%, paying absurdly inflated prices for everything, seemingly at random. We'd need to make a new word to describe that irresponsible prolificacy except they seem to have self-diagnosed already."
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1/ yes, and -- I know both of you know this already but daily reminder that SURVIVORSHIP/hindsight bias is HUGE here, i.e. . See e.g., Gwern review of Stewart Brand's "the media lab" https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/373688680 … …
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that’s a good example around which to distinguish between “being an optimist” and “being optimistic about ____”
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