My favorite bets are the ones where I understand the thesis, it’s well-articulated, and under reflection I’m still happy with my position. Here’s mine: I believe that in 2025 AppAmaGooFaceSoft will routinely, as their standard, offer >$300k 2018 dollars in total comp to new devs https://twitter.com/can/status/1063643674020593664 …
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(Sandbagging is the art of underrepresenting one’s true opinion of capabilities/pipeline/market sentiment for the purpose of goal setting, often on e.g. a sales team, to maximize chance of beating goal and thereby getting pecuniary benefits.)
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I’m on the fence. On one hand, I see how much is being accomplished by how fewer devs due to new abstractions. On the other, I recognize how many ideas have yet to be built due to the lack of developers.
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