Lionel Page

@page_eco

Economist . Author of forthcoming 'Optimally Irrational'. Tweet on behavioural economics, science and society.

Sydney
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2017.

Medijski sadržaj

  1. prije 21 sat

    This great excerpt from The Gulag Archipelago by Solzhenitsyn gives insight into the game theory of lavishing praise in dictatorships: “Don’t ever be the first to stop applauding!”

  2. 3. velj

    Reminder that sports commentaries are narratives largely built on randomness.

  3. 2. velj

    This cute video shows how tail wagging is a way to communicate. 🐶 only wags tail when making eye contact.

  4. 1. velj

    A great way to realise the sheer quantity of information our 🧠 seamlessly processes when we do a “simple” task like driving a car. This is what the Tesla autopilot sees using a neural network which took 70,000 GPU hours to train. ht

  5. 1. velj

    NFL games’ broadcasts are 1h30 longer than football (soccer) games and they have three times less actual playing time: 18min vs 58min.

  6. 31. sij

    Brilliant idea to adjust your perception about how you compare to a top athlete like Ronaldo.

  7. 30. sij

    All these quotes are from our paper with where we find that male professional tennis players seem to follow the predictions of the model. After losing a point on a symmetric scoreline, the player behind is less likely to win the next point.

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  8. 30. sij

    What do professional players do? Brad Gilbert, one of the most successful tennis coaches, stresses in his book “Winning Ugly” that the most important points are not game points but 30-30/deuce.

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  9. 30. sij

    Here is a stylised tennis game. You start at 0-0 and move in the tree as you win/lose points. To win, you need to win 4 points with at least 2 point difference. Note that 30-30 and deuce are strategically equivalent (2-2).

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  10. 30. sij

    It is common to hear that players should play each point 100%. See for instance what Djokovic said in 2013:

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  11. 29. sij

    How contagious is the coronavirus? (World Health Organisation data). by

  12. 28. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    I, respectfully, disagree. Popper’s insights are (mostly) very good. And science cannot be Bayesian as suggested there. Bayesianism is not suited to explain how scientists create and adopt new ‘models’. Excerpt from Binmore’s Rational Decisions (2011)

  13. 27. sij

    Amazing: a trail of termites (up) and a trail of ants (down), both protected by a row of their soldiers in a stand-off, without fighting. from

  14. 27. sij

    So getting richer *does* increase well-being in the long run. 👇Positive effect of US$100,000 on the life satisfaction of Swedish lottery winners, 5-22 years later. Forthcoming in RESTUD:

  15. 27. sij

    When your first results look good, rerun the analyses before starting to write your paper.

  16. 26. sij

    Viruses are closer to tiny biological machines than to living organisms. This great animation shows how a virus reproduces by hacking cells and getting them to replicate their 🧬.

  17. 25. sij

    Views are very unequally distributed on Wikipedia. Top 0.1% of pages get 25% of views. Top 1% of pages get 58% of views. by

  18. 24. sij

    Brilliant example of how perspective can trick our perception.

  19. 24. sij
  20. 23. sij

    Excellent: People use round numbers when posting prices on eBay to signal a willingness to bargain. Result: Items listed at multiples of $100 receive offers that are 8%-12% lower but they are also 15%-25% more likely to sell. JPE paper:

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