Interesting null. Not sure that the resulting lit on counter mobilization is that strong (or that the paper shows that this is the case). Could just be that purges and poll place closures only seem to have very, very modest effects on turnout generally
New working paper finds evidence of ”the resilience of Black turnout,” despite Supreme Court decision that limited voting rights. Results are consistent with other studies finding Black voters mobilize in face of ”perceived threats to the franchise.” https://kyleraze.com/files/shelby_county_voting.pdf …pic.twitter.com/Q6xqiHXS7U
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Agree it’s important to be cautious about the full range of these findings. Also, as efforts to limit the franchise keep growing, temporal validity an additional issue.
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Accusations of voter suppression do far more to increase turnout than any actual voter suppression reduces it. It's been this way for decades. Most of the rhetoric around it is as silly and devoid of evidence as claims of widespread voter fraud
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why is this using survey data when these states have race on file? This is extremely confusing -- Georgia quite literally publishes this!pic.twitter.com/0BW67JTT3Z
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Most states don't include race in the voter file. That said, most of the national vendors (Catalist, L2) have modeled race so you could certainly do it that way. Usually the benefit of using validated CCES is for attitude questions of actual voters, which I don't think he does
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And sadly, they are going to need to keep it up.
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