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owasow's profile
Omar Wasow
Omar Wasow
Omar Wasow
@owasow

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Omar Wasow

@owasow

Asst Prof, Pomona Politics. I study protests, statistics & race: 1/ Agenda Seeding http://j.mp/agenda-seeding  2/ Race as a Bundle of Sticks http://j.mp/bundle-of 

omarwasow.com
Joined June 2007

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    Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

    What could #BlackLivesMatter mean for writers & scholars? I’ve been thinking about this over the last three days since @NathanJRobinson critiqued my study on the political consequences of 1960s protests as “bad research.” 1/ https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/agenda-seeding-how-1960s-black-protests-moved-elites-public-opinion-and-voting/136610C8C040C3D92F041BB2EFC3034C …pic.twitter.com/rkjABeUGJW

    8:45 AM - 18 Jun 2020
    • 555 Retweets
    • 1,812 Likes
    • null Goodbye Freddy Drord (it was worth every single tear) Eric Taylor Ray Eva Thorne FactsMatter Joe Baxter Stapleton
    36 replies 555 retweets 1,812 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        By way of background, my paper asks how can marginalized groups advance their interests in democratic or semi-democratic societies when confronted with a hostile majority? Many around the world face this challenge. I wanted to know what strategies & tactics were effective. 2/

        1 reply 37 retweets 324 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Other scholars like @EricaChenoweth & @MariaJStephan have asked similar questions. They looked cross-nationally and found that ”between 1900 and 2006, campaigns of nonviolent resistance were more than twice as effective as their violent counterparts.” 3/https://www.ericachenoweth.com/research/wcrw 

        4 replies 43 retweets 308 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        In his excellent new book The Loud Minority, @DanielGillion also consider effects of violence and finds it can be beneficial for a movement by amplifying the concerns of protesters among elite actors like legislators & presidents. 4/ https://www.amazon.com/Loud-Minority-Democracy-Princeton-Political-ebook/dp/B07Z1CC85T …

        2 replies 22 retweets 215 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        I focus on thousands of protests during the Civil Rights Movement of the 1960s. I consider the arguments put forth by scholars like those just mentioned and Black activist-thinkers like Ella Baker & Bayard Rustin who also debated these issues fiercely. 5/

        1 reply 14 retweets 186 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Using my training in stats & poli-sci, I also ran a lot of separate tests to assess some of the possible consequences of nonviolent and violent resistance on media coverage, public opinion, Congress and voting behavior. What does Robinson say about all that work? 6/

        2 replies 15 retweets 188 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Robinson’s critique (nested in a longer essay) argues: “It’s bad research, by the way, because what it does is single out the political effect of riots in a way that allows people to blame ‘inner-city rioters’ and ignore other causes.” 7/https://www.currentaffairs.org/2020/06/has-the-american-left-lost-its-mind …

        2 replies 15 retweets 160 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        NJR: “So it argues that violence fuels negative media coverage which fuels a political backlash that helps Republicans.” 8/

        1 reply 9 retweets 145 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        NJR: ”Which might be true empirically, but as Martin Luther King pointed out, it’s grotesquely immoral to make the conversation about rioters rather than looking at what causes rioters to do what they do. Yes, one way to frame the facts is ’riots help Republicans.‘…” 9/

        2 replies 15 retweets 163 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        The most generous interpretation I can give of Robinson’s critique is that he views my research as shifting attention away from a critical focus on white supremacy to “framing the facts” in a way that “blames” Black activists for resisting white domination. 10/

        2 replies 17 retweets 227 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Omar Wasow Retweeted Omar Wasow

        That line of argument makes at least three important errors: treating prejudice as immovable, ignoring black agency and treating black leaders, thinkers & activists as monolithic. I address those points at length in another thread: 11/https://twitter.com/owasow/status/1271132989364281346?s=20 …

        Omar Wasow added,

        Omar Wasow @owasow
        My paper on political consequences of 1960s protests has received a lot of attention recently. I'm very grateful for the interest 🙏🏽 and, when possible, want to respond to some of the thoughtful critiques. 1/ https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/agenda-seeding-how-1960s-black-protests-moved-elites-public-opinion-and-voting/136610C8C040C3D92F041BB2EFC3034C … pic.twitter.com/HYEg3MGkZo
        Show this thread
        2 replies 35 retweets 341 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Omar Wasow Retweeted Will Lowe

        But those aren’t the only failings of Robinson’s argument. @conjugateprior notes @NathanJRobinson doesn’t seem to “care about ‘the facts’ at all.” 12/https://twitter.com/conjugateprior/status/1272624334486622208 …

        Omar Wasow added,

        Will Lowe @conjugateprior
        If you find yourself writing things like "which might be true empirically, but" or "one way to frame the facts is". Or you feel the need to claim that isolating a causal effect is bad because there are other ones, maybe ask yourself whether you care about 'the facts' at all. 1/2 pic.twitter.com/LrNJ9yX5oa
        Show this thread
        5 replies 19 retweets 288 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Omar Wasow Retweeted Zeeshan Aleem

        And @ZeeshanAleem notes the risks of an intellectual project that rejects results that do not conform to ”perceived political priorities.” 13/https://twitter.com/ZeeshanAleem/status/1272584558702137347 …

        Omar Wasow added,

        Zeeshan AleemVerified account @ZeeshanAleem
        I think left intellectual discourse is going to fail in a very, very serious way if it deems research as "bad" because it opens up a line of inquiry that might not jell with perceived political priorities. /1 https://www.currentaffairs.org/2020/06/has-the-american-left-lost-its-mind/ … pic.twitter.com/2mGa8nnmo3
        Show this thread
        1 reply 21 retweets 269 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        I agree with those points but also want to raise an additional issue about how my training in African American studies contributes to our different interpretations of this history and evidence. 14/

        2 replies 11 retweets 162 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        My research centers Black people who complicate his story, who engage in robust debates, who consider evidence that contradicts his worldview. To folks like Robinson, Black people appear to be useful only inasmuch as they serve him well. 15/

        5 replies 49 retweets 478 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        First, Robinson selectively quotes MLK (always a bad sign) to serve as a kind of moral and intellectual cudgel without engaging at all with the fullness of King’s argument. In the passage Robinson references, King says: 16/

        1 reply 19 retweets 308 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        MLK: ”…We have lived over these last two or three summers with agony and we have seen our cities going up in flames.” 17/ https://www.gphistorical.org/mlk/mlkspeech/ 

        1 reply 13 retweets 157 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        MLK: ”And I would be the first to say that I am still committed to militant, powerful, massive, non­-violence as the most potent weapon in grappling with the problem from a direct action point of view.” 18/

        1 reply 22 retweets 194 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        MLK: “I'm absolutely convinced that a riot merely intensifies the fears of the white community while relieving the guilt.… But it is not enough for me to stand before you tonight and condemn riots.” 19/

        1 reply 20 retweets 215 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        MLK: “It would be morally irresponsible for me to do that without, at the same time, condemning the contingent, intolerable conditions that exist in our society.” 20/

        1 reply 14 retweets 211 likes
        Show this thread
      21. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Anyone taking King’s ideas seriously would want to consider his advocacy for nonviolence, his concerns & criticism of violent resistance AND his attention to understanding underlying causes of uprisings. 21/

        1 reply 26 retweets 291 likes
        Show this thread
      22. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        My paper tries to wrestle with all three of these ideas presented by King. For @NathanJRobinson, though, the only words of King’s that matter are those that serve Robinson’s agenda. 22/

        1 reply 17 retweets 292 likes
        Show this thread
      23. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Second, a striking aspect of Robinson’s critique is his inability to consider the perspectives of Black activists in a long tradition of advocacy that included both nonviolent and violent resistance against white supremacy. 23/

        2 replies 10 retweets 206 likes
        Show this thread
      24. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        For example, my paper quotes Robert Williams who was once head of both an NAACP chapter & a Black NRA chapter. Williams wrote an influential book called Negroes with Guns and argued that ”Negroes meet violence with violence as a means of self-defense.” 24/ https://libcom.org/files/Robert%20Franklin%20Williams%20-%20Negroes%20with%20guns.pdf …

        1 reply 12 retweets 151 likes
        Show this thread
      25. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        What would it mean to try and see the world through Williams’ eyes? What would it mean to take Williams’ ideas as seriously as the Black Panthers did? 25/

        1 reply 9 retweets 136 likes
        Show this thread
      26. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Well, first we’d want to read Williams, learn that he was a WWII Vet who waged multiple campaigns for desegregation using picket lines, international media, courts and, in some cases, arms to protect the Black community in Monroe, NC. 26/

        1 reply 10 retweets 156 likes
        Show this thread
      27. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Of course Williams is just one of dozens of leaders who evaluated both nonviolent and violent means of resistance. Conveniently, Robinson’s critiques, both in the essay & later on Twitter, betray no awareness of or engagement with these sorts of complex Black figures & ideas. 27/

        4 replies 13 retweets 184 likes
        Show this thread
      28. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        There’s a reason my paper begins “How do the subordinate few persuade the dominant many?” There’s a reason my model starts with activists. The paper puts the concerns and perspectives of marginalized activists at the center of the story. 28/pic.twitter.com/DYet03UlaP

        2 replies 26 retweets 261 likes
        Show this thread
      29. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Finally, Robinson’s critique fails to engage with my scholarship. If you look closely at what Robinson wrote, it’s noteworthy that he never actually quotes my writing and never references any of the actual results. 29/

        1 reply 16 retweets 259 likes
        Show this thread
      30. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        Omar Wasow Retweeted zeynep tufekci

        His quotes and summary are a second- or third-hand caricature. As @zeynep notes, there’s no evidence he actually read or even skimmed the paper. 30/https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1272932836677386240 …

        Omar Wasow added,

        zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynep
        Replying to @zeynep @NathanJRobinson and 3 others
        Nathan: Have you had a chance to actually read @owasow's paper? Past time to correct your egregious mischaracterization of excellent research (by a black scholar, too!) Maybe also apologize for comparing him to Charles Murray (!!) and erroneously marshal MLK (!!!) in the process?
        2 replies 15 retweets 282 likes
        Show this thread
      31. Omar Wasow‏ @owasow 18 Jun 2020

        So, I devoted myself to reading history, running dozens of statistical analyses, testing hypotheses, digitizing thousands of pages of newspapers & the Congressional Record, and worked doggedly to publish in a respected academic journal. 31/

        5 replies 10 retweets 267 likes
        Show this thread
      32. Show replies

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