If you make it to a competitive summer school (say with 50% acceptance rate), what do you think is the probability that you will end up being professor? I believe baseline of PhD-> prof=7%
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This seems to suggest that ballpark, though I'm not sure how they are calculating it https://amp-theatlantic-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/amp.theatlantic.com/amp/article/273434/?amp_js_v=a2&_gsa=1&usqp=mq331AQA#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&_tf=From%20%251%24s&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theatlantic.com%2Fbusiness%2Farchive%2F2013%2F02%2Fhow-many-phds-actually-get-to-become-college-professors%2F273434%2F … This gives similar numbers for physics given number phds awarded / number jobs created http://www.prosperousphysicist.com/know-the-odds-of-becoming-a-research-university-professor/ …pic.twitter.com/87kZBEOS0i
Its 3.5% in the UK according to Royal Society https://royalsociety.org/~/media/royal_society_content/policy/publications/2010/4294970126.pdf … (permanent research staff ~ associate Prof in US), then 0.45% Full prof
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NSF reports 10.6% of bio PhDs achieve tenure track position w/in 5 yearshttps://science.sciencemag.org/content/352/6286/663 …
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