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New blog: the Apollo programme, the Tory train wreck, and advice to spads starting work todayhttps://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2017/06/12/the-unrecognised-simplicities-of-effective-action-2b-the-apollo-programme-the-tory-train-wreck-and-advice-to-spads-starting-work-today/ …
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It's silly to be pessimistic re talks as if future defined mostly by them. It isn't. It can be defined by what we choose to focus on & build
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Single Mkt is yesterday, we shd focus on future: bio engineering, AI, & new industries, new models for regulation/finance etc
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Leavers o/side Cabinet shd worry less re talks. Will be botched but not so important. Shd focus on new ideas where UK can create huge value
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3/ Similar to Munger’s point re UK being #1 economy w/out public companies, which are often dreadful organisationshttps://www.johnkay.com/2017/06/24/technological-change-future-financial-intermediation/ …
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2/ ‘We should be talking about risk management & capital allocatn w/out a presumption that markets are the best way’https://www.johnkay.com/2017/06/24/technological-change-future-financial-intermediation/ …
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1/ Really good by
@johnkayft on financial mrkets incl European errors viz whole approach to financial mkt regulationhttps://www.johnkay.com/2017/06/24/technological-change-future-financial-intermediation/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Best thing Ive read on the problems of Basic Income ideas BUT maybe Kay/others underestimate exponential effects of automation/AI?https://twitter.com/JohnKayFT/status/849576823646281729 …
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7/ Am I less happy re REF result today than 24/6/16? No, just as happy. But I do have one big regret...
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6/ Partic funny to see well-educated IN-ers ranting about a failure to have 100% confidence, with no awareness such a view is childlike
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5/ ppl looking at politics are so gang-driven they're blinded if s/one says they aren't 100% confident in their predictions
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4/ & political/media/twitter political discussion has no language/concepts for coping with probabilistic judgements made amid uncertainty
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3/ Why have >90% misinterpreted? >90% looking at politics fit new data into a network of existing beliefs & thereby fool themselves
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2/ Also accidentally did a great experiment showing amazing propensity of IN-ers who whine re 'lies' to comfort themselves w hallucinations
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1/ Accidentally did a great experiment to show how urge to fit new data to existing political beliefs overpowers actual words ppl read
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odysseanproject Retweeted
Building the Gadget: A Technical History of the Atomic Bomb. http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2017/07/building-gadget-technical-history-of.html …pic.twitter.com/JmndhNCE8i
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For all those newly interested in the branching histories of the referendum, knock yourselves out…https://dominiccummings.com/2017/06/23/on-the-referendum-23-a-year-after-victory-a-change-of-perspective-is-worth-80-iq-points-how-to-capture-the-heavens/ …
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2/ A core mission for post-Brexit UK shd be innovating with science regulatn/funding as per
@geochurch@kesvelthttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1EyMRGrmho …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
1/ continuing closed door science research will create NEW global catastrophic risks beyond known (CRISPR, AGI etc)https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1EyMRGrmho …
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Fascinating talk by
@kesvelt on science research that cd cause mega-deaths & what is to be done CC@michael_nielsenhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1EyMRGrmho …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
Interesting paper: politicians strongly overestimate electorate’s conservatism & don’t learn from elections http://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/miller-stokes/08_MillerStokes_BroockmanSkovron.pdf …
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