Byron Tau
Don't these national exit polls sorta complicate the narrative that this was some sort of downscale voters revolt?pic.twitter.com/DSdbzVdjGo
Owen Davis
@ByronTau @NickTimiraos No. look how the low-income vote shifted. Sharply to Trump.pic.twitter.com/2U6AwkwX01
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@odavis_@AuerbachKeller@ByronTau@NickTimiraos 'Do I vote for the transgender bathrooms and pronouns party or the bring back jobs party?' -
@Undonepuppet I don't think as many people were motivated by those issues as you think -
@Undonepuppet 70% of voters think the economy is rigged in favor of wealthy and elite. Trump championed that message.
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@odavis_@AuerbachKeller@ByronTau@NickTimiraos Trump won because he captured the white middle class. -
@DanFriedman81@AuerbachKeller he didn't do better than your typical R there. Your statement is technically true... -
@DanFriedman81@AuerbachKeller ... in the same sense that "Trump won because he didn't choke to death on a fish bone" is true. -
@vintermann@AuerbachKeller My feeling is that Hillary failed to capitalize on Trump's weakness by overperformong with R-leaning voters. -
@DanFriedman81@AuerbachKeller Trump said outright his strategy was to win former nonvoters, working class hurt by free trade. -
@vintermann@AuerbachKeller Well, it's not clear whether he got nonvoters or Obama voters. -
@DanFriedman81@AuerbachKeller regardless, as a demographic pollsters weighed those ppl down, because they thought they didn't vote much.
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@odavis_@AuerbachKeller@ByronTau@NickTimiraos Also, the poor disproportionately don't vote, so they matter less in elections. -
@odavis_@AuerbachKeller@ByronTau@NickTimiraos This is coming off Romney's comments about people who don't pay income tax. -
@odavis_@ByronTau@NickTimiraos Thanks for that. -
@odavis_@Scholars_Stage@ByronTau@NickTimiraos cc'ing@iwelsh for this chart. -
@odavis_@ByronTau@NickTimiraos@AuerbachKeller Right. We have to understand the changes, what happened to the voters that switched.
Tanooki
Daniel Friedman
Harald K.
Tim Hernandez
Robot Prancer
Adam Conner-Sax
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