What is happening.pic.twitter.com/NaVYsnhXjA
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I'm laughing my posterior off. 
Monty Hall also suggests that one should explore other options rather than sticking with the one.
woah woah just because I'm Cypriot does not mean my "one" is a goat! 
oh, my bad! I'll update the prior.
the Reverending Bayes
Okay, now I just need to know the probability that you are actually a goat.
you have goat to be kid-ding!
Well, this model is a bust. I can't divide by 0!
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