what the hell? "it's fine to lie because everyone knows that people lie" WOW.
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maybe you know this guy and so you have insider information that changes you how read this passage. but to an outsider (I'm an applied statistican / economist) it sounds pretty bad.
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"Bad" to me means a value judgement. So I take it you think him publishing his views will affect the field of psych generally negatively? But it's how we can all as a field understand each other. If he doesn't type out what he thinks, what other way do we have to get started?
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And yes, of course I know Rich Shiffrin. His views will represent many in the math psych community.
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Same here, Rich is a well known figure in the field. I read his remarks as saying that there is an economy of trust in science and this seems obviously true. Pre-reg will not eliminate this economy either.
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pre-registrations aren't intended to eliminate that economy, they are intended to help it function better. sort of like how regulating the rest of the economy is supposed to work too!
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Depends on your definition of better though. Increased thresholds for signal detection reduce the hit rate as well as reducing false alarms. That's one of Rich's points IIRC.
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No reason for it to reduce hit rate. It just means your serendipitous "hit" isn't allowed to masquerade as a hypothesis test or confidence interval.
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I joined this thread with a joke, but seeing some earnest defenders of Shiffrin on here, I read his Psychonomic Society blog. And, I have to say, I find it appalling. I would say slippery.
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